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4.10

Overall: 294-196

4.9: Recap 3-4

3-4 on the night, due to an unfortunate showing from the guys on the court. As we saw in the NHL, teams on the last leg of their playoff runs have been acting realllll strange. So, lets take a step back and re-evaluate these picks…might not be a bad idea to fade (take the other side) of these picks given the team’s positioning at this point in the season. This isn’t to say The Brain is wrong, but its computing percentage success rates, and teams intentionally tanking are obviously not included in the calc. For that reason, i would suggest fading the NBA picks.

UPDATE: MLB is here. Hopefully everyone saw yesterday’s trial, which ended 4-2. I’ve gotten the model to a point that I feel good releasing as a section of The Brain. Therefore, now officially introducing the MLB picks. BOL!

4.10 picks:

  • Pipinsried-Nurnberg II o2.5 ✓
  • Schalding-Illertissen o2.5 ✓
  • Unterfohring-Ingolstadt II o2.5 ✗
  • 🏀
  • Charlotte CHA +3 (implied -6) ✓ (outright win +110) ✓
  • Boston BOS +7 (implied -1)✗
  • Atlanta ATL +9 (implied +3) ✓
  • New York NYM ✓
  • Philadelphia PHI ✓
  • Toronto TOR ✓
  • Detroit DET-Cleveland CLE o8.5 ✗
  • Cincinnati CIN-Philadelphia PHI o7.5 ✗
  • Houston HOU-Minnesota MIN u8 ✓

4.9

Overall: 291-192

4.6: Recap 7-1

7-1 on Friday, so it finally looks like things are settling back down. No NHL games tonight as teams get prepared for the first round of the playoffs. NBA has been steadily improving, so i’ll put up 4 basketball picks tonight. A slew of Soccer picks as well to keep things engaging. Surprise below for those that keep scrolling….

4.9 picks:

  • Wil-Xamax o2.5 ✓
  • Graafschap-Almere City o3.5 ✓
  • Den Bosch-Jong Ajax o3.5 ✓
  • 🏀
  • Orlando ORL +12 (implied -1) ✗
  • Memphis MEM +16 (implied +4) ✗
  • Chicago CHI +8 (implied -1) ✗
  • LA LAC +8 (implied -1) ✗

 

Also, kicking off a trial of the Baseball picks today:

  • New York NYM ✓
  • Philadelphia PHI ✓
  • Atlanta ATL ✗
  • San Diego SD-Colorado COL u9.5 ✗
  • Cincinnati CIN-Philadelphia PHI o9 ✓
  • Toronto TOR-Baltimore BAL o7.5 ✓

4.6

Overall: 284-191

4.5: Recap 4-5

4-5 on 4/5…fitting. Not exactly desired, but pretty fitting record for last night…The Brain’s attempt at jokes I guess. Anyways, some pretty irrelevant games in the NBA and NHL again tonight, so not expecting anything outstanding here (maybe if I put it like that, we will start sweeping). Full slate in any case. Lets go.

 

4.6 picks:

  • 🏀
  • Cleveland CLE +4 (implied -5) ✓
  • Toronto TOR -8 (implied -8) ✓
  • 🏒
  • Tampa Bay ML -360 ✓
  • Pittsburgh ML -275 ✓
  • St. Louis ML -135 ✓
  • Anaheim ML -170 ✓
  • Ottawa at Pittsburgh o5.5 ✗
  • Buffalo at Tampa Bay o6 ✓

4.5

Overall: 280-186

4.4: Recap 3-4

3-4 on the night…some adjustments were made to the model today to hopeful bring forth some good fortunes. Excluding anything more than -170, as it just seems to be too much risk for little reward. Let’s get a sweeeeeep. 💸

4.5 picks:

  •  🏀
  • Minnesota MIN +6 (implied PK) ✓
  • Golden State GS -2 (implied -7) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Vegas ML -155 ✗
  • Boston ML -125 ✗
  • Toronto ML +110 ✗
  • Toronto at New Jersey o6 ✗
  • Pittsburgh at Columbus o5.5 ✓
  • Carolina at Philadelphia o6 ✓
  • Vegas at Edmonton o6 ✓

4.4

Overall: 277-182

4.3: Recap 6-4

6-4 last night with some very very tough beats. Nashville lost on an extremely controversial call on the ice. Preds Goal. Then, I’m not sure what the refs were on in Tampa last night, deliberately pushing the game under 5.5 goals. There were at least two times when bizarre referee calls took points off the board with very little explanation. Just to reiterate, I don’t have any input in these picks, so it’s not like I am personally upset about any of the losses, but I do believe The Brain made the right picks and the refs had a different agenda. Anyways, we push on. The slate of games is small tonight, but it should be a good one.  Let’s go.

4.4 picks:

  • 🏀
  • Memphis MEM +13 (implied +1) ✗
  • Detroit DET -1 (implied -6) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Ottawa ML +120 ✓
  • St. Louis ML -240 ✗
  • Minnesota ML +125 ✗
  • Ottawa at Buffalo o5.5 ✓
  • Chicago at St. Louis o5.5 ✓

4.3

Overall: 271-178

4.2: Recap 6-1 (Bonus 1-1)

6-1…small whiff of redemption for The Brain. We’re gonna keep this train rolling tonight with a strong list of high-implication games in the NBA and NHL. Also, the much anticipated return of soccer after a long international break should spell some heightened success for our record. For those of you following the Bruins tonight, Boston is EVEN, and 68% of bets at the Vegas sportsbooks are on them to win straight up. Not nearly enough conviction for them to make it into our list, but The Brain does support them to win. Full slate below for this rainy Tuesday.  Lets go.

 

4.3 picks:

  • Fiorentina +126 ✓
  • Bayern Munich -160 ✓
  • 🏀
  • Golden State GS +5 (implied -5) ✓ (outright win +150) ✓
  • Sacramento SAC +1 (implied -6) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Winnipeg ML -160 ✓
  • Vegas ML -175 ✓
  • Nashville ML -140 ✗
  • Boston at Tampa Bay o5.5 ✗
  • NY Rangers at New Jersey o6 ✓
  • Nashville at Florida o6 ✗

4.2

Overall: 265-177

3.29: Recap 3-5

3-5 on Thursday…our slump is definitely related to the end of the NHL season. It’s almost as if we should be taking every underdog at this point. Teams like the Sabres and Coyotes catching fire in the last 10 games of the season makes no logical sense; so trying to predict these games is completely out of our control.

We’ll stick it out –  for tonight it’s just Soccer, NHL. and NCAAB.

4.2 picks:

  • Norrkoping-Brommapojkarna o2.5 ✓
  • 🏒
  • Minnesota ML -190 ✓
  • Florida ML -165 ✓
  • Washington ML +145 ✓
  • Buffalo at Toronto o6 ✓
  • Winnipeg at Ottawa o6 ✓
  • Edmonton at Minnesota o5.5 ✗
  • 🏆
  • Villanova VILL -7 (implied -11) ✓
  • Michigan MICH at Villanova VILL o145.5 ✗

3.29

Overall: 262-172

3.28: Recap 4-7

Another lackluster outcome…going to switch it up a bit and take a smaller slate with more conviction for tonight. Let’s get this record back on track. Plenty of outstanding games tonight, that should be really entertaining at the very least. Profits come in due time and as we all know, every day can’t be a winner. let’s sweep tonight and move forward. Throwing in a prop for the spurs game too, because The Brain is saying they’re scoring no more than 94 with Aldridge out. BOL!

3.29 Picks:

  • 🏀
  • Oklahoma City OKC -4 (implied -9) ✗
  • San Antonio SA TT u102.5 ✗
  • 🏒
  • Winnipeg ML -175 ✗
  • Florida ML -160✗
  • Columbus ML -185 ✓
  • Tampa Bay at Boston o5.5 ✓
  • Pittsburgh at New Jersey o6 ✓
  • Florida at Ottawa o6 ✗

3.28

Overall: 258-165

3.27: Recap 4-6

Very disappointing 4-6 night, which is particularly tough given our recent stretch of bad luck. I think the proximity to playoffs is throwing off NHL teams a little bit. This should be temporary and I expect a very strong showing from The Brain come playoffs for NHL and NBA games. One note I want to point out is that the brain will often suggest -200+ plays in the NHL, which I would suggest we avoid at this juncture. It’s too high risk to be putting on favorites with only a week left of regular season play. If anything, we should be fading these plays at amazing values; to hedge for nights where we split 1-1.

Anyways, tons of plays tonight should make for some losses recouped. If you haven’t subscribed to my site already, please consider doing so in the main menu at the top of the homepage. Click in the top right corner of the Bobby Orr picture to get to the drop-down menu and subscription button. Let’s go.

3.28 picks:

  • (Scotland) Hamilton +0.5 ✗
  • (Italy B) Ascoli-Bari o2 ✗
  • 🏀
  • Charlotte CHA -1 (implied -6) ✗
  • Brooklyn BKN -3 (implied -3) ✓
  • New York NY +13 (implied +10) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Vegas ML -240 ✗
  • Washington ML -250 ✓
  • Toronto ML -155 ✓
  • NY Rangers at Washington o6 ✗
  • Florida at Toronto o6 ✓
  • Philadelphia at Colorado o6 ✗

 

CLOSED: 3.27 People’s Parlay “Phoenix”

Result: 5-3 ✗

Second ever “People’s Parlay,” no guarantee but tons of conviction.

“Phoenix” – Arising from the ashes of apathetic achievement, finding fire in the piping pit of predictive modeling, and taking flight on the torrid travel to treasure.  💸

$10 to win $568…with what feel like very solid picks. Two NBA money-lines, three NHL money-lines, and three NHL over/unders. It’s going to be a tall order for the NHL to rebound from last night, but that is the essence of the phoenix. We need to call on her to lift us through to the finish line on this heater of a parlay.

We know The Brain has withstood the test of time, with 415 games under its belt, so now lets see if we can push the envelope and cash in on a parlay at 57:1 odds.

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