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4.17

Overall: 326-221

4.16: Recap 2-5

 Not a great night by any means…but I think I know what the problem is. Here is my new strategy…I am going to select the top UNDERDOGS from each sport, and recommend those based on the models predictions (will only post if the team is implied TO WIN). This should hopefully fix some of the problem we have had recently where good teams are being upset in the playoffs at unreasonably low values. Thus in the new system, if we are able to hit 3/5, we will still profit. I think this will be good especially in the MLB where dogs are the only real value. Lets give it a shot..

4.17 picks:

  • 🏀
  • New Orleans NO +6  ✓ & ML +220 ✓
  • 🏒
  • Winnipeg ML EV ✓
  • Vegas ML +106 ✓
  • Vegas at Los Angeles o5 ✗
  • Washington at Columbus o5.5 ✗
  • Detroit DET ML +101 ✓
  • St. Louis STL ML +111 ✓
  • St. Louis STL at Chicago CHC o7.5 ✓
  • Boston BOS at Los Angeles LAA o8 ✓

4.16

Overall: 324-216

4.13: Recap 7-4-1

 7-4-1 on Friday, which seems so long ago now. We have a long list of games tonight, and some seriously good looking ones at that. BOL!

4.16 picks:

  • 🏀
  • San Antonio SA +10 (implied +3) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Tampa Bay ML -140 ✗
  • Nashville ML -165 ✗
  • Tampa Bay at New Jersey o6 ✓
  • Toronto TOR ML -205 POSTPONED
  • Milwaukee MIL ML -130 ✗
  • Philadelphia PHI at Atlanta ATL o8 ✗
  • Texas TEX at Tampa Bay TB o8 ✓

 

4.13

Overall: 317-212

4.12: Recap 9-4

Alright, alright, alright… 9-4 got me feeling pretty (very) good about this little MLB trend we’re on here. LOADS of baseball games left, so hopefully the more numbers The Brain eats the stronger it will become. No choice but to include strong NHL favorites tonight with the shorter list of games. It’s 70° and sunny in NYC, so the forecast looks bright. Lets go.

4.13 picks:

  • Girona-Betis o2.5 ✗
  • 🏒
  • Winnipeg ML -200 ✓
  • Vegas ML -150 ✓
  • Pittsburgh ML -210  ✗
  • Los Angeles at Vegas o5 ✗
  • Philadelphia at Pittsburgh o6 P
  • Los Angeles LAA ML -150 ✓
  • Boston BOS ML -180 ✓
  • St. Louis STL ML -150 ✓
  • Pittsburgh PIT at Miami MIA o8 ✓
  • New York NYY at Detroit DET u9 ✗
  • Los Angeles LAA at Kansas City KC u9.5 ✓

4.12

Overall: 308-208

4.11: Recap 6-8

Meh performance. Let’s move on to tonight’s picks. LOVE LOVE LOVE the Bruins getting a BIG spot in today’s picks. We already knew they were going to win but now we’re just THAT much more confident. Red Sox taking top baseball pick is just icing on the Boston Cake. Best of Luck!

4.12 picks:

  • El Masry-Al Nasr Cairo o2.5 ✓
  • Al-Nasr Riyadh-Al Qadisiya o2.5 ✓
  • 🏒
  • Tampa Bay ML -220 ✓
  • Boston ML -165 ✓
  • Washington ML -145 ✗
  • New Jersey at Tampa Bay o6 ✓
  • San Jose at Anaheim o5 ✗
  • Boston BOS ML ✓
  • Los Angeles LAA ML ✓
  • St. Louis STL ML ✓
  • Detroit DET at Cleveland CLE u8.5 ✗
  • Pittsburgh PIT at Chicago CHC o8 ✗
  • Colorado COL at Washington WSH u9 ✓

4.11

Overall: 302-200

4.10: Recap 8-4

Solid night with an 8-4 final outcome last night. The MLB model is looking very $$$, with o/u almost perfectly on point. The two losses were mind blowing, one missed by just 0.5 and the other was a shootout where no runners could make it the final leg of the bases. Overall, I’m very happy with this little trial…enough to keep it going today at least. MASSSSIVE slate tonight with the NHL back…gonna look into trimming picks in the future

4.11 picks:

  • F. Amager-Viborg o2.5 ✓
  • BFC Dynamo-Oberlausitz o2.5✗
  • 🏀
  • Toronto TOR +5 (implied -9) ✗
  • Houston HOU -4 (implied -17) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Winnipeg ML -180 ✓
  • Vegas ML -140 ✓
  • Pittsburgh ML -180 ✓
  • Philadelphia at Pittsburgh o6 ✓
  • Minnesota at Winnipeg o5.5 ✗
  • Los Angeles LAA ML -105 ✓
  • Boston BOS ML -110 ✗
  • Atlanta ATL at Washington WSH o9 ✗
  • Houston HOU at Minnesota MIN u8 ✗
  • Cincinnati CIN at Philadelphia PHI o7.5 ✗

4.10

Overall: 294-196

4.9: Recap 3-4

3-4 on the night, due to an unfortunate showing from the guys on the court. As we saw in the NHL, teams on the last leg of their playoff runs have been acting realllll strange. So, lets take a step back and re-evaluate these picks…might not be a bad idea to fade (take the other side) of these picks given the team’s positioning at this point in the season. This isn’t to say The Brain is wrong, but its computing percentage success rates, and teams intentionally tanking are obviously not included in the calc. For that reason, i would suggest fading the NBA picks.

UPDATE: MLB is here. Hopefully everyone saw yesterday’s trial, which ended 4-2. I’ve gotten the model to a point that I feel good releasing as a section of The Brain. Therefore, now officially introducing the MLB picks. BOL!

4.10 picks:

  • Pipinsried-Nurnberg II o2.5 ✓
  • Schalding-Illertissen o2.5 ✓
  • Unterfohring-Ingolstadt II o2.5 ✗
  • 🏀
  • Charlotte CHA +3 (implied -6) ✓ (outright win +110) ✓
  • Boston BOS +7 (implied -1)✗
  • Atlanta ATL +9 (implied +3) ✓
  • New York NYM ✓
  • Philadelphia PHI ✓
  • Toronto TOR ✓
  • Detroit DET-Cleveland CLE o8.5 ✗
  • Cincinnati CIN-Philadelphia PHI o7.5 ✗
  • Houston HOU-Minnesota MIN u8 ✓

4.9

Overall: 291-192

4.6: Recap 7-1

7-1 on Friday, so it finally looks like things are settling back down. No NHL games tonight as teams get prepared for the first round of the playoffs. NBA has been steadily improving, so i’ll put up 4 basketball picks tonight. A slew of Soccer picks as well to keep things engaging. Surprise below for those that keep scrolling….

4.9 picks:

  • Wil-Xamax o2.5 ✓
  • Graafschap-Almere City o3.5 ✓
  • Den Bosch-Jong Ajax o3.5 ✓
  • 🏀
  • Orlando ORL +12 (implied -1) ✗
  • Memphis MEM +16 (implied +4) ✗
  • Chicago CHI +8 (implied -1) ✗
  • LA LAC +8 (implied -1) ✗

 

Also, kicking off a trial of the Baseball picks today:

  • New York NYM ✓
  • Philadelphia PHI ✓
  • Atlanta ATL ✗
  • San Diego SD-Colorado COL u9.5 ✗
  • Cincinnati CIN-Philadelphia PHI o9 ✓
  • Toronto TOR-Baltimore BAL o7.5 ✓

4.6

Overall: 284-191

4.5: Recap 4-5

4-5 on 4/5…fitting. Not exactly desired, but pretty fitting record for last night…The Brain’s attempt at jokes I guess. Anyways, some pretty irrelevant games in the NBA and NHL again tonight, so not expecting anything outstanding here (maybe if I put it like that, we will start sweeping). Full slate in any case. Lets go.

 

4.6 picks:

  • 🏀
  • Cleveland CLE +4 (implied -5) ✓
  • Toronto TOR -8 (implied -8) ✓
  • 🏒
  • Tampa Bay ML -360 ✓
  • Pittsburgh ML -275 ✓
  • St. Louis ML -135 ✓
  • Anaheim ML -170 ✓
  • Ottawa at Pittsburgh o5.5 ✗
  • Buffalo at Tampa Bay o6 ✓

4.5

Overall: 280-186

4.4: Recap 3-4

3-4 on the night…some adjustments were made to the model today to hopeful bring forth some good fortunes. Excluding anything more than -170, as it just seems to be too much risk for little reward. Let’s get a sweeeeeep. 💸

4.5 picks:

  •  🏀
  • Minnesota MIN +6 (implied PK) ✓
  • Golden State GS -2 (implied -7) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Vegas ML -155 ✗
  • Boston ML -125 ✗
  • Toronto ML +110 ✗
  • Toronto at New Jersey o6 ✗
  • Pittsburgh at Columbus o5.5 ✓
  • Carolina at Philadelphia o6 ✓
  • Vegas at Edmonton o6 ✓

4.4

Overall: 277-182

4.3: Recap 6-4

6-4 last night with some very very tough beats. Nashville lost on an extremely controversial call on the ice. Preds Goal. Then, I’m not sure what the refs were on in Tampa last night, deliberately pushing the game under 5.5 goals. There were at least two times when bizarre referee calls took points off the board with very little explanation. Just to reiterate, I don’t have any input in these picks, so it’s not like I am personally upset about any of the losses, but I do believe The Brain made the right picks and the refs had a different agenda. Anyways, we push on. The slate of games is small tonight, but it should be a good one.  Let’s go.

4.4 picks:

  • 🏀
  • Memphis MEM +13 (implied +1) ✗
  • Detroit DET -1 (implied -6) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Ottawa ML +120 ✓
  • St. Louis ML -240 ✗
  • Minnesota ML +125 ✗
  • Ottawa at Buffalo o5.5 ✓
  • Chicago at St. Louis o5.5 ✓