+3.8u on Friday/Saturday morning to round out a very solid week. Up +6.9u (+$690) in 5 days, which sounds like a very good week for anyone. Since we started keeping track, we are roughly up 1u ($100) per day. I don’t want to get ahead of myself but i would really like to hit +100u. Let’s see if tonight’s picks can help us get there.
BIG slate with a 4u play mixed in. I really like this Brain Pick because we, as always, are modeling off trends (riding the hots and fading the colds). I love how low Vegas is dropping the o/u on this game because Verlander and Happ are pitching. Sure, they post ERA’s of 1.6 and 3.6 respectively, but dig into what they do against these specific teams and the numbers tell a different story entirely. Verlander is 3-5 with a 4.7 ERA in 12 career starts vs the Jays, while Happ is 4-2 with a 3.3 ERA in 8 starts vs the Astros. Cloudy skies and steamy – feels like 92 degrees – weather sure sounds like a high scoring game to me. Time to fade consensus!
- 1u Uruguay URU ML PK -120 ✓
- 1u Portugal POR ML -150 ✗
- 1u Spain ESP o2.5 -125 ✓
- 1u Egypt EGY o2.5 +115 ✓
- 4u Toronto TOR at Houston HOU o7 ✓
- 3u Cincinnati CIN at Atlanta ATL o9 P
- 2u Oakland OAK ML -105 ✓
- 1u Cleveland CLE ML -128 ✗